In the realm of fluid mechanics, a team of researchers from the University of Science and Technology of China, led by Professor Honghui Teng, and Markus Kloker from the University of Stuttgart, has made significant strides in predicting the transition from laminar to turbulent flow. This transition is a critical factor in various industries, including energy systems, where it can significantly impact efficiency and performance.
The team’s research, published in the Journal of Fluid Mechanics, focuses on the long-standing challenge of predicting the point at which a smooth, laminar flow becomes turbulent. This transition is notoriously complex due to its nonlinear nature and sensitivity to external disturbances. While the Navier-Stokes equations can describe the underlying physics, practical predictions often fall short because of the lack of comprehensive models for perturbation initialization and turbulence generation in numerical simulations.
To address this, the researchers proposed a fine-grained predictive framework that accurately predicts the transition location. They generated an extensive dataset using nonlinear parabolized stability equations (NPSE) simulations. These simulations were performed over a wide range of randomly prescribed initial conditions for a generic zero-pressure-gradient flat-plate boundary-layer flow, resulting in a large dataset that captures the nonlinear evolution of instability waves across three canonical transition pathways (Type-K, -H, and -O).
From a database of 3000 simulation cases, the team extracted diagnostic quantities such as wall pressure signals and skin-friction coefficients from each simulation. These quantities were used to construct a feature set that links pre-transition flow characteristics to transition onset locations. Machine learning models were systematically evaluated, with ensemble methods, particularly XGBoost, demonstrating exceptional predictive accuracy with a mean relative error of approximately 0.001.
This approach accounts for the physical process and achieves transition prediction without relying on any empirical parameters, unlike current methods such as the N-factor method and transitional turbulence models. The practical applications of this research are significant for the energy industry. For instance, in wind energy, understanding and predicting flow transitions can help in designing more efficient wind turbine blades. Similarly, in marine engineering, it can aid in optimizing ship hulls for better fuel efficiency. The researchers’ work represents a substantial advancement in the field, offering a more accurate and reliable method for predicting flow transitions in various practical applications.
Source: Journal of Fluid Mechanics
This article is based on research available at arXiv.

