Gdansk Researchers Optimize Microgrids with Precise Energy Forecasting

In the dynamic world of energy management, a groundbreaking study led by Kawsar Nassereddine from the Faculty of Electrical and Control Engineering at Gdansk University of Technology, has shed new light on optimizing microgrid systems. Published in Scientific Reports, the research delves into the intricacies of energy management systems (EMS) within microgrids, highlighting the pivotal role of accurate renewable energy prediction and its impact on load curtailment.

The study underscores the importance of precise forecasting in managing energy resources effectively. Nassereddine and his team discovered that predicting energy needs just one hour in advance yields better results than immediate or longer-term forecasts. This finding could revolutionize how energy providers plan their operations, potentially leading to significant cost savings and improved grid stability.

One of the most compelling aspects of the research is the comparison of two load curtailment strategies. Case 1, which involves curtailments in both the morning and afternoon, aligns load management with the peak output of photovoltaic (PV) energy. This approach not only reduces reliance on grid power but also enhances overall energy efficiency. In contrast, Case 2, which focuses solely on midday curtailment, results in increased energy purchases from the grid, missing out on the abundant solar energy available during peak hours.

Nassereddine emphasizes the importance of this distinction, stating, “Our findings clearly show that a well-coordinated curtailment strategy, coupled with accurate forecasting, can significantly improve the efficiency of hybrid energy systems. This not only reduces the stress on storage systems like batteries and supercapacitors but also lowers overall energy costs.”

The research also highlights the interdependent relationship between precise forecasting and effective load management. By applying Case 1 for curtailment along with accurate forecasting, the study demonstrates improved battery coordination and reduced stress on supercapacitors. This synergistic approach not only enhances the reliability of the energy management system but also promotes a greater reliance on renewable energy sources and storage systems.

The implications of this research are far-reaching. For energy providers, the ability to predict and manage energy needs more accurately could lead to substantial cost savings and improved grid stability. For consumers, it means more reliable and efficient energy supply, potentially reducing energy bills and environmental impact.

As the energy sector continues to evolve, the insights from this study could shape future developments in model predictive control, energy management systems, and hybrid energy storage. By leveraging accurate forecasting and strategic load curtailment, energy providers can create more resilient and efficient microgrid systems, paving the way for a more sustainable energy future. The research, published in Scientific Reports, offers a compelling roadmap for the energy sector to navigate the complexities of renewable energy integration and demand response programs.

Scroll to Top
×